Peterson Institute for International Economics Update Newsletter
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PIIE Update Newsletter
May 17, 2013

"Washington's premier think tank on the global economy"
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  From Here to Eternity: The Outlook for Fiscal Adjustment in Advanced Economies

Carlo Cottarelli

International Monetary Fund
  Monday, May 20, 2013
12:30–2:00 p.m. (EDT)
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  Monetary Policy in the Context of Balance Sheet Adjustments

Peter Praet

Executive Board of the
European Central Bank
  Wednesday, May 22, 2013
12:30–2:00 p.m. (EDT)
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  Working Paper 13-4
The Rise of Emerging Asia: Regional Peace and Global Security

Miles Kahler
  Miles Kahler Kahler argues that the rapid economic rise of China, India, and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) could have several effects on regional peace and global security. The power transition perspective overstates the risk of conflict that results from convergence between dominant and challenger states. Three features of the international environment—democratization, economic interdependence, and international institutions—provide weak insurance however, at best, against conflict in Asia. Emerging Asian powers may also challenge existing global security regimes, a more indirect threat to global peace.

>> Read full working paper [pdf]

Recent Blog Posts

RealTime Economic Issues Watch   China Economic Watch    North Korea:  Witness to Transformation
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Effects of the Euro Crisis on Reserve Currency Holdings

Is France a 'Peripheral' Country?

Southern Europe's Problem: Poor Education

Obama's Trip to Mexico: Building on NAFTA to Broaden Trade with Asia

Uncertain Prospects for Italy and Cyprus
  Is China's Public Debt Level Sustainable?

China's Bank-Centric Shadow Banking System

China's International Investment Position in 2012

China Rebalancing Update—Q1 2013

China's Not So Super Development Bank
  What Is Going On in the North Korean Military?

TB Update

The long-term impact of intrauterine exposure to malnutrition

Waiting for Godot: Agricultural Reform Update

Ready for war

PIIE Noted in the News and on the Web

The Wall Street Journal
Bergsten Warns of Currency Wars in Peterson Valedictory Speech
The Wall Street Journal assesses C. Fred Bergsten's recommendations for systematic reforms to address the global currency wars. Bergsten spoke during the Peterson Institute's twelfth annual Stavros Niarchos Foundation Lecture.

NPR's Morning Edition
Yen's Drop In Value Could Fuel Currency War
C. Fred Bergsten discusses how the yen's plunge in value affects Japan's export and import market.

The Economist
French Public Opinion - Morosity Rules
With France's economy back in recession, the Economist calls attention to an article by Jacob Funk Kirkegaard that asks "Is France a 'Peripheral' Country?"

Preview of Our Next Issue

Policy Brief 13-13
Sizing Up US Export Disincentives for a New Generation of National-Security Export Controls
J. David Richardson
Asha Sundaram

In This Issue

Niarchos Lecture
C. Fred Bergsten Currency Wars, the Economy of the United States, and Reform of the International Monetary System

C. Fred Bergsten argues that currency manipulation is the single biggest challenge facing the world economic system and costs millions of US jobs.

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