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Essential Reading Items

Op-ed: Will the Crisis Create a New Japan?
by Marcus Noland, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Op-ed in the Washington Post
March 16, 2011

Op-ed: Japan Must Dip into Its Rainy Day Fund
by Carmen M. Reinhart, Peterson Institute for International Economics
and Vincent R. Reinhart, American Enterprise Institute
Op-ed in the Financial Times
March 24, 2011

Speech: Seven Broad Lessons for the United States from Japan’s Lost Decade
by Adam S. Posen, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Remarks presented at Japan's Lost Decade: Lessons for the United States, The Brookings Institution
March 26, 2009

Policy Brief 04-6: What Went Right in Japan
by Adam S. Posen, Peterson Institute for International Economics
November 2004

Working Paper 03-9: It Takes More than a Bubble to Become Japan
by Adam S. Posen, Peterson Institute for International Economics
October 2003

Working Paper 07-4: Industrial Policy, Innovation Policy, and Japanese Competitiveness
by Marcus Noland, Peterson Institute for International Economics
May 2007

Policy Briefs

12-23: Updated Estimates of Fundamental Equilibrium Exchange Rates [pdf]
by William R. Cline, Peterson Institute for International Economics
and John Williamson, Peterson Institute for International Economics
November 2012

12-19: Combating Widespread Currency Manipulation [pdf]
by Joseph E. Gagnon, Peterson Institute for International Economics
July 2012

12-12: Japan Post: Anti-Reform Law Clouds Japan's Entry to the Trans-Pacific Partnership [pdf]
by Gary Clyde Hufbauer, Peterson Institute for International Economics
and Julia Muir, Peterson Institute for International Economics
May 2012

12-2: Japan Post: Retreat or Advance? [pdf]
by Gary Clyde Hufbauer, Peterson Institute for International Economics
and Julia Muir, Peterson Institute for International Economics
January 2012

10-26: Currency Wars? [pdf]
by William R. Cline, Peterson Institute for International Economics
and John Williamson, Peterson Institute for International Economics
November 2010

10-17: Turning Back the Clock: Japan’s Misguided Postal Law is Back on the Table [pdf]
by Gary Clyde Hufbauer, Peterson Institute for International Economics
and Julia Muir, Peterson Institute for International Economics
June 2010
Revised October 2010

09-16: Pacific Asia and the Asia Pacific: The Choices for APEC [pdf]
by C. Fred Bergsten, Peterson Institute for International Economics
July 2009

09-5: The Future of the Chiang Mai Initiative: An Asian Monetary Fund? [pdf]
by C. Randall Henning, Peterson Institute for International Economics
February 2009

05-1: A Currency Basket for East Asia, Not Just China [pdf]
by John Williamson, Peterson Institute for International Economics
August 2005

04-6: What Went Right in Japan [pdf]
by Adam S. Posen, Peterson Institute for International Economics
November 2004

02-5: The Looming Japanese Crisis [pdf]
by Adam S. Posen, Peterson Institute for International Economics
May 2002

01-4: Japan 2001: Decisive Action or Financial Panic
by Adam S. Posen, Peterson Institute for International Economics
April 2001

99-1: Implementing Japanese Recovery
by Adam S. Posen, Peterson Institute for International Economics
January 1999

98-8: Reviving the "Asian Monetary Fund"
by C. Fred Bergsten, Peterson Institute for International Economics
December 1998

98-3: Exchange Rates for the Dollar, Yen, and Euro [pdf]
by Simon Wren-Lewis, University of Exeter
July 1998

98-1: The Asian Financial Crisis
by Morris Goldstein, Peterson Institute for International Economics
March 1998

Working Papers

12-23: Overlooked Opportunity: Tradable Business Services, Developing Asia, and Growth [pdf]
by J. Bradford Jensen, Peterson Institute for International Economics
November 2012

12-21: The Services Sector in Asia: Is It an Engine of Growth? [pdf]
by Donghyun Park, Asian Development Bank
and Kwanho Shin, Korea University
October 2012

12-19: The Renminbi Bloc Is Here: Asia Down, Rest of the World to Go? [pdf]
by Arvind Subramanian, Peterson Institute for International Economics
and Martin Kessler, Peterson Institute for International Economics
October 2012

12-18: Developing the Services Sector as Engine of Growth for Asia: An Overview [pdf]
by Marcus Noland, Peterson Institute for International Economics
and Donghyun Park, Asian Development Bank
and Gemma B. Estrada, Asian Development Bank
October 2012

12-17: Prospects for Services Trade Negotiations [pdf]
by Jeffrey J. Schott, Peterson Institute for International Economics
and Minsoo Lee, Asian Development Bank
and Julia Muir, Peterson Institute for International Economics
October 2012

12-16: Transactions: A New Look at Services Sector Foreign Direct Investment in Asia [pdf]
by Jacob Funk Kirkegaard, Peterson Institute for International Economics
October 2012

12-15: Choice and Coercion in East Asian Exchange Rate Regimes [pdf]
by C. Randall Henning, Peterson Institute for International Economics
September 2012

11-21: Asian Regional Policy Coordination [pdf]
by Edwin M. Truman, Peterson Institute for International Economics
December 2011

11-16: Asia and Global Financial Governance [pdf]
by C. Randall Henning, Peterson Institute for International Economics
and Mohsin S. Khan, Peterson Institute for International Economics
October 2011

10-13: The G-20 and International Financial Institution Governance [pdf]
by Edwin M. Truman, Peterson Institute for International Economics
September 2010

10-7: The Realities and Relevance of Japan’s Great Recession: Neither Ran nor Rashomon [pdf]
by Adam S. Posen, Peterson Institute for International Economics
June 2010

10-6: Toward a Sunny Future? Global Integration in the Solar PV Industry [pdf]
by Jacob Funk Kirkegaard, Peterson Institute for International Economics
and Thilo Hanemann, Rhodium Group
and Lutz Weischer, World Resources Institute
and Matt Miller
May 2010

07-4: Industrial Policy, Innovation Policy, and Japanese Competitiveness [pdf]
by Marcus Noland, Peterson Institute for International Economics
May 2007

06-2: The Case for an International Reserve Diversification Standard [pdf]
by Edwin M. Truman, Peterson Institute for International Economics
and Anna Wong, Peterson Institute for International Economics
May 2006

05-14: The East Asian Industrial Policy Experience: Implications for the Middle East [pdf]
by Marcus Noland, Peterson Institute for International Economics
and Howard Pack, Wharton School
December 2005

05-12: Prospects for Regional Free Trade in Asia [pdf]
by Gary Clyde Hufbauer, Peterson Institute for International Economics
and Yee Wong, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
October 2005

03-10: The Difficulty of Discerning What's Too Tight: Taylor Rules and Japanese Monetary Policy [pdf]
by Kenneth N. Kuttner, Oberlin College
and Adam S. Posen, Peterson Institute for International Economics
December 2003

03-9: It Takes More than a Bubble to Become Japan [pdf]
by Adam S. Posen, Peterson Institute for International Economics
October 2003

03-2: Is Germany Turning Japanese? [pdf]
by Adam S. Posen, Peterson Institute for International Economics
March 2003

02-2: Passive Savers and Fiscal Policy Effectiveness in Japan [pdf]
by Kenneth N. Kuttner, Peterson Institute for International Economics
and Adam S. Posen, Peterson Institute for International Economics
May 2002

01-8: Finance and Changing US-Japan Relations: Convergence Without Leverage--Until Now [pdf]
by Adam S. Posen, Peterson Institute for International Economics
August 2001

01-5: Unchanging Innovation and Changing Economic Performance in Japan [pdf]
by Adam S. Posen, Peterson Institute for International Economics
May 2001

00-4: The New Asian Challenge [pdf]
by C. Fred Bergsten, Peterson Institute for International Economics
March 2000

99-4: The Continuing Asian Financial Crisis: Global Adjustment and Trade
by Marcus Noland, Peterson Institute for International Economics
and Sherman Robinson, Peterson Institute for International Economics
and Zhi Wang, Peterson Institute for International Economics

98-6: The Global Economic Effects of the Japanese Crisis
by Marcus Noland, Peterson Institute for International Economics
and Sherman Robinson, Peterson Institute for International Economics
and Zhi Wang, Peterson Institute for International Economics

98-5: Local Government Spending: Solving the Mystery of Japanese Fiscal Packages
by Hiroko Ishii, Peterson Institute for International Economics
and Erika Wada, Peterson Institute for International Economics

Congressional Testimony

Currency Misalignments and the US Economy
by C. Fred Bergsten, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Testimony before the Subcommittees on Trade, Ways and Means Committee; Commerce, Trade and Consumer Protection, Energy, and Commerce Committee; and Domestic and International Monetary Policy, Trade and Technology, Financial Services Committee of the House of Representatives
May 9, 2007

Some Background Q&A on Japanese Economic Stagnation
by Adam S. Posen, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Testimony submitted to the Subcommittee on Trade Committee on Ways and Means
United States House of Representatives
Washington, DC
July 13, 1998

US-Japan Trade: The Broader Context
by Ellen L. Frost, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Testimony before the Subcommittee on Trade Committee on Ways and Means
United States House of Representatives
Washington, DC
March 28, 1996

Op-eds

Getting Japan to Guzzle American Gas
by Gary Clyde Hufbauer, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Op-ed on Bloomberg.com
April 24, 2013

Japan Should Rethink Its Stimulus
by Adam S. Posen, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Op-ed in the Financial Times
January 15, 2013

Asia's Service Sector Imperative
by Marcus Noland, Peterson Institute for International Economics
and Donghyun Park, Asian Development Bank
and Gemma B. Estrada, Asian Development Bank
Op-ed in the APEC Currents Newsletter
December 2012

Time for a Fightback in the Currency Wars
by C. Fred Bergsten, Peterson Institute for International Economics
and Joseph E. Gagnon, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Op-ed in the Financial Times
September 4, 2012

Asia: Stepping Up from Regional Influence to a Global Role
by Mohsin S. Khan, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Op-ed in East Asia Forum Quarterly
October 16, 2011

No Excuse for Inaction
by Adam S. Posen, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Op-ed in Reuters
August 31, 2011

Japan Must Dip into Its Rainy Day Fund
by Carmen M. Reinhart, Peterson Institute for International Economics
and Vincent R. Reinhart, American Enterprise Institute
Op-ed in the Financial Times
March 24, 2011

Will the Crisis Create a New Japan?
by Marcus Noland, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Op-ed in the Washington Post
March 16, 2011

Asia, Europe, and the IMF
by Arvind Subramanian, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Op-ed in Business Standard
May 26, 2010

China Is the Key to Unwinding Global Imbalances
by Arvind Subramanian, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Op-ed in the Financial Times
April 20, 2010

APEC and Trade Liberalization: Towards Greater Integration
by Jeffrey J. Schott, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Op-ed in the Business Times, Singapore
November 10, 2009

Is There an Economic Alternative?
by Adam S. Posen, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Op-ed submitted to Eurointelligence, August 24, 2009
September 1, 2009

Does Obama Have a Plan B?
by Adam S. Posen, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Op-ed in the Daily Beast
March 29, 2009

Batten Down the Hatches in Case the Economic Storm Hits
by Adam S. Posen, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Op-ed in the Financial Times
December 28, 2005

A Strategy that Could Lift Doha from Limbo into Mutual Success
by Jeffrey J. Schott, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Letter to the editor in the Financial Times
October 28, 2005

Bubbles Are Getting Blown Out of All Proportion
by Adam S. Posen, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Op-ed in the Financial Times
September 8, 2004

Revival of Japan: Golden Efforts Belie Risk-Averse Image
by Edward M. Graham, Peterson Institute for International Economics
and Adam S. Posen, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Op-ed in the Japan Times
August 29, 2004

How to Sustain the Global Rebound
by Michael Mussa, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Op-ed in the Financial Times, London edition
January 2, 2004

Korea's FTA Conundrum
by Jeffrey J. Schott, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Op-ed in JoongAng Ilbo
November 10, 2003

Muzzling Our Economic Negotiators
by C. Fred Bergsten, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Op-ed from The Washington Post
September 10, 2003

For Japan, It's Every Which Way But Back
by Adam S. Posen, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Op-ed in the Washington Post
October 20, 2002

Deflation and the Bank of Japan
by Adam S. Posen, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Op-ed from "Business Insights"
The Japan Times
September 23, 2002

Speeches and Papers

Global Economic Prospects as of September 9, 2011: How Deep the Current Slowdown? [pdf]
by Michael Mussa, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Paper presented at the twentieth semiannual meeting on Global Economic Prospects
September 9, 2011

Asia-Pacific Perspectives on the Future of the World Trade System
by C. Fred Bergsten, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Transcript of portion of Panel 1, Asia-Pacific Perspectives on the Future of the World Trade System, of the East-West Center / US Asia Pacific Council 8th Annual Washington Conference, Washington, DC
May 23, 2011

Japan Can—and Will—Be a Normal Economy Again [pdf]
by Adam S. Posen, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Remarks to the 12th Annual Mitsui Symposium, Center on Japanese Economy and Business, Columbia University, New York
April 13, 2011

Global Economic Prospects as of April 4, 2011: Continued Growth Despite the Turmoil
by Michael Mussa, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Paper presented at the nineteenth semiannual meeting on Global Economic Prospects
April 4, 2011

Transcript of the Event "Global Economic Prospects: Spring 2011" [pdf]
by Michael Mussa, Peterson Institute for International Economics
and Nicholas R. Lardy, Peterson Institute for International Economics
and Marcus Noland, Peterson Institute for International Economics
April 4, 2011

Focus on Trade Agenda Could Reinvigorate APEC
by C. Fred Bergsten, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Interview with C. Fred Bergsten reposted with permission of the Asahi Shimbun
November 6, 2010

Monetary Ease and Global Rebalancing: Debunking the Japanese Scare Story [pdf]
by Adam S. Posen, Peterson Institute for International Economics
October 26, 2010

Asia's Recovery and Macroeconomic Policy Challenges
by Jong-Wha Lee, Asian Development Bank
Prepared remarks delivered at the release event for the Asian Development Outlook 2010
April 19, 2010

Global Economic Prospects for 2010 and 2011: Global Recovery Continues [pdf]
by Michael Mussa, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Paper presented at the seventeenth semiannual meeting on Global Economic Prospects, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Washington, DC
April 8, 2010

Submission to the USTR in Support of a Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement
by C. Fred Bergsten, Peterson Institute for International Economics
and Jeffrey J. Schott, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Paper submitted to the United States Trade Representative on the Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement
January 25, 2010

American Economic Relations with Asia [pdf]
by Marcus Noland, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Article in Asian Economic Policy Review
November 2009

Global Economic Prospects as of September 2009: Onward to Global Recovery [pdf]
by Michael Mussa, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Paper presented at the sixteenth semiannual meeting on Global Economic Prospects, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Washington, DC
September 17, 2009

Trade and the Global Economic Crisis: "If It's Not Part of the Solution, It's Part of the Problem"
by Jeffrey J. Schott, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Remarks presented at the APEC symposium, "Addressing the Economic Crisis, Preparing for Recovery," Singapore
July 17, 2009

World Recession and Recovery: A V or an L? [pdf]
by Michael Mussa, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Paper presented at the fifteenth semiannual meeting on Global Economic Prospects, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Washington, DC
April 7, 2009

Seven Broad Lessons for the United States from Japan’s Lost Decade [pdf]
by Adam S. Posen, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Remarks presented at Japan's Lost Decade: Lessons for the United States, The Brookings Institution
March 26, 2009

A Call for an "Asian Plaza" [pdf]
by C. Fred Bergsten, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Article in the International Economy
May 2008

Comments on Chapters 2 and 3 of Financial Innovation in Japan
by Adam S. Posen, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Prepared for the Tokyo Club–Brookings Financial Seminar 2006
Revised for publication
April 2007

Global Economic Prospects, Early September 2006 [pdf]
by Michael Mussa, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Presentation at the tenth semiannual meeting on Global Economic Prospects
Washington, DC
September 14, 2006

Global Economic Prospects 2006/2007: Continued Solid Growth in 2006, Rising Risks for Inflation, Financial Markets, and Growth for 2007 [pdf]
by Michael Mussa, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Presentation at the ninth semiannual meeting on Global Economic Prospects
Institute for International Economics
Washington, DC
April 11, 2006

Breaking Down Barriers to Growth [pdf]
by Martin Neil Baily, Peterson Institute for International Economics
and Diana Farrell, McKinsey Global Institute
Article in Finance & Development
March 2006

Global Economic Prospects: Growth Slowing Below Potential in 2006 [pdf]
by Michael Mussa, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Presentation at the eighth semiannual meeting on Global Economic Prospects
Institute for International Economics
Washington, DC
September 12, 2005

The Economic Implications of Koizumi’s Election Victory [pdf]
by Adam S. Posen, Peterson Institute for International Economics
September 12, 2005

The Trans-Pacific Imbalance: A Disaster in the Making? [pdf]
by C. Fred Bergsten, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Speech at the 16th General Meeting of the Pacific Economic Cooperation Council (PECC) Seoul, South Korea
September 7, 2005

A New Strategy for APEC [pdf]
by C. Fred Bergsten, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Speech at the 16th General Meeting of the Pacific Economic Cooperation Council (PECC) Seoul, South Korea
September 6, 2005

Embedding Pacific Asia in the Asia Pacific: The Global Impact of an East Asian Community [pdf]
by C. Fred Bergsten, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Speech at the Japan National Press Club, Tokyo
September 2, 2005

Global Economic Prospects: Slower But Still Solid Growth in 2005; Worries About Growth and Inflation for 2006 [pdf]
by Michael Mussa, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Presentation at the seventh semiannual meeting on Global Economic Prospects
Institute for International Economics
Washington, DC
April 7, 2005

Global Economic Prospects: On Track for Strong Growth in 2004 But Worries About 2005
by Michael Mussa, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Paper presented at the sixth semiannual meeting on Global Economic Prospects,
Institute for International Economics
Washington, DC
September 15, 2004

What Went Right in Japan [pdf]
by Adam S. Posen, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Paper presented at the sixth semiannual meeting on "Global Economic Prospects,"
Institute for International Economics
Washington, DC
September 15, 2004

The Resurgent Japanese Economy and a Japan–United States Free Trade Agreement
by C. Fred Bergsten, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Paper presented to the Foreign Correspondents' Club of Japan
Tokyo, Japan
May 12, 2004

Global Economic Prospects: Bright for 2004 but with Questions Thereafter
by Michael Mussa, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Presentation at "Global Economic Forecasts"
Institute for International Economics
Washington, DC
April 1, 2004

Should G7 Policy Coordination Be Revived?
by C. Fred Bergsten, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Article published in The International Economy, Fall 2003
November 24, 2003

A Global Growth Rebound: How Strong for How Long? [pdf]
by Michael Mussa, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Paper at the Global Economic Prospects conference
Institute for International Economics
Washington, DC
September 9, 2003

Revitalizing the Economies of Japan and the United States
by C. Fred Bergsten, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Washington, DC
June 2003

Restoring G-8 Leadership to the World Economy [pdf]
by the Shadow G-8
May 2003

The Year in Review: A Turning Point? [pdf]
by Martin Neil Baily, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Paper for the Global Competitiveness Report
February 2003

Downside Risks to the Japanese Outlook for 2002
by Adam S. Posen, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Presented at a conference on the "Global Economic Prospects"
Institute for International Economics
Washington, DC
April 3, 2002

Japan's New Regional Trade Policy--Which Country Comes Next After Singapore?
by Noboru Hatakeyama, Japan External Trade Organization
Second annual Whitman Lecture
Washington, DC
March 13, 2002

Macroeconomic Policy Options and Prospects for Japan
by Adam S. Posen, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Remarks at the Institute for International Economics
Washington, DC
January 15, 2002

Beware Policy Overreactions: Managing Changing Macroeconomic Conditions in Japan and the United States
by Adam S. Posen, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Speech to Keizai Koho Center
Think Tankers' Symposium
Tokyo, Japan
January 17, 2001

Back to the Future: APEC Looks at Subregional Trade Agreements to Achieve Free Trade Goal
by C. Fred Bergsten, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Speech given at the Pacific Basin Economic Council luncheon
Washington, DC
October 31, 2000

Japan and the International Economic Institutions
by Marcus Noland, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Paper prepared for the Centre for Japanese Economic Studies Fifth Biennial Conference
"Can the Japanese Change? Economic Reform in Japan"
Macquarie University
Sydney, Australia
July 6-7, 2000

Too Much Interest in Interest Rates
by Adam S. Posen, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Article excerpted in the Nihon Keizai Shimbun Economic Commentary
February 10, 1999

Marcus Noland on Japan's Economy (Political will needed to solve Japan's woes)
by Steve La Rocque, USIA Staff Writer
Interview reprinted from USIS Washington File
December 3, 1998

Fear of Finance and Global Realities
by Adam S. Posen, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Statement before the Oiso Experts Seminar Foreign Trade Council and USIS Tokyo American Center
Tokyo, Japan
November 19, 1997