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Michael Mussa, whose economic projection last year turned out to be more correct than many others, discusses the art and science of economic forecasting.
RELATED PUBLICATIONS
Paper:
Global Economic Prospects for 2010 and 2011: Global Recovery Continues
[pdf]
Paper presented at the seventeenth semiannual meeting on Global Economic Prospects, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Washington, DC
April 8, 2010
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The IMF Needs Support from Congress March 11, 2013
A Gloomy Outlook in Europe: Part I November 9, 2012
A Gloomy Outlook in Europe: Part II November 9, 2012
Fiscal Cliff-hanger: The US Economic Outlook, Part I November 8, 2012
Fiscal Cliff-hanger: The US Economic Outlook, Part II November 8, 2012
Currency Manipulation: It's Not Just China July 17, 2012
Europe vs. the Rest of the World January 20, 2012
What Should the Fed Do? August 11, 2011
Is There Such a Thing as a Risk-Free Asset? August 10, 2011
Averting Default, the United States Faces More Obstacles August 3, 2011