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Economic Normalization with Cuba: A Roadmap for US PolicymakersThe United States and Cuba are ending decades of hostility and heading toward normalizing their relations. Gary Clyde Hufbauer and Barbara Kotschwar provide recommendations on how to proceed in their recent book Economic Normalization with Cuba: A Roadmap for US Policymakers.

Most recently posted material.

RealTime Economic Issues Watch Greece Has Chosen, but It Doesn't Get to Decide by Itself
Jacob Funk Kirkegaard — January 26, 2015
The radical leftist party Syriza won the election in Greece on Sunday with 36 percent of the vote, propelled by a campaign demanding an end to tough austerity measures imposed from on high in return for its rescue from insolvency. Together with the Independent Greeks party (ANEL), Syriza is ...

North Korea: Witness to Transformation Seoul Conference on Doing Business in North Korea
Stephan Haggard — January 26, 2015
This is short notice, but we were alerted to an upcoming conference at Kyungnam University’s Institute for Far Eastern Studies (IFES) titled “Doing Bus ...

China Economic Watch Deleveraging the State in China
Ryan Rutkowski — January 26, 2015
Corporate leverage has grown rapidly in recent years in the state sector. If the government remains committed to its policy of moderating the growth of credit, as economic growth slows, this could lead to the partial privatization of state assets. Corporate deleveraging is not without precedent i ...

Op-ed Will the Stars Favor China-US Ties in 2015?
Gary Clyde Hufbauer — January 26, 2015
A slew of economic deals and general easing of tensions give reason for optimism this year in the hugely important relationship.

RealTime Economic Issues Watch Is Foreign Ownership of Banks Problematic for Eastern Europe?
Simeon Djankov — January 26, 2015
Last week's request by two Greek banks for a €5 billion emergency assistance from the European Central Bank rang alarm bells. Not just in Greece, where the economy has barely gotten off the ground after six consecutive years of falling GDP, but also across several Eastern European countries, w ...

China Economic Watch China Chart of the Week: China’s Real Effective FX Appreciation in Perspective
Kent Troutman — January 23, 2015
The renminbi depreciated by 2.5% against the US dollar in 2014, reversing a multi-year trend of appreciation. This depreciation has led some to question whether China has abandoned their policy of allowing the RMB to appreciate against the dollar. As we pointed out in our recent post reviewing the g ...

Testimony Job Creation and a Healthy Economy [pdf]
Justin Wolfers — January 22, 2015
While there is good news about the US economy, we should not confuse this with the fact that the level of activity remains below potential.

RealTime Economic Issues Watch How Long Will the Global Oil Glut Last?
Avinash Persaud — January 22, 2015
The decline in oil prices to less than $50 per barrel should not be a surprise. The surprise is how long oil prices stayed above $100 per barrel when supply and demand fundamentals could no longer support such a price. Given the supply outlook, oil prices will likely remain below $50 per barrel f ...

RealTime Economic Issues Watch Bulgaria: Slayer of Russian Energy Projects
Simeon Djankov — January 21, 2015
In the past three years, Bulgaria has been slaying large Russian energy projects at the pace of one a year. In 2012, it was the Belene nuclear power plant—started in the distant 1988 and dragging along until the Borisov government, in which I was minister of finance and deputy prime mini ...

Policy Brief 15-1 What Next for the IMF? [pdf]
Edwin M. Truman — January 21, 2015
After the Obama administration's four failed attempts to win congressional approval of the 2010 quota and governance reform for the International Monetary Fund, the international community must prepare for the likelihood of a new world order in which the IMF augments its funding and reforms its governing structure without US participation.

audio Peterson Perspectives Interview A Growth Slowdown in China?
Nicholas R. Lardy — January 20, 2015
Nicholas R. Lardy says the latest GDP figures from China show an overall slowdown but underlying strength in employment, the services sector, and consumption.

Op-ed The Truth about Currency Manipulation: Congress and the Trans-Pacific Partnership
C. Fred Bergsten — January 20, 2015
Bipartisan majorities of both houses of Congress insist that the TPP forcefully address the manipulation of exchange rates. At the same time, many believe that a US effort to raise currency concerns would torpedo the agreement. There is a way to resolve this dilemma, but it will require new initiatives by the Obama administration, Congress, and TPP partner countries.

RealTime Economic Issues Watch The ECB's Coming New Stance on QE
Jacob Funk Kirkegaard — January 20, 2015
For months I have argued that the European Central Bank (ECB) is not likely to move quickly toward new monetary stimulus, including the purchase of sovereign bonds. I have now shifted my expectations. I believe that at its next meeting, the ECB will likely commence a broad based asset purchase pr ...

RealTime Economic Issues Watch 2015 Outlook for FDI in the US: Two Key Sources of Growth Are China and Japan
Theodore H. Moran and Lindsay Oldenski — January 20, 2015
FDI by Chinese firms in the United States Chinese investment in the United States has been growing in recent years, concentrated in manufacturing, electrical equipment, information technology (IT), chemicals, and extractive industries. But total foreign direct investment (FD ...

RealTime Economic Issues Watch The Effects of a Wage Increase by Large Corporations on the Macroeconomy
Michael Jarand — January 17, 2015
The Peterson Institute for International Economics has for some years undertaken research on inequality and inclusive capitalism, partially supported by a series of grants from the ERANDA Foundation. Last month, Aetna informed the Institute of its plan to raise the wages of its lower-paid wor ...

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Min Zhu

Unlocking Global Growth

The IMF's Min Zhu discusses ongoing structural changes in the world economy and policies to boost growth around the globe.

Pierre Moscovici

A Page Turned: Working for Investment and Growth in the New European Union

Pierre Moscovici, the new European Commissioner for Economic and Financial Affairs, Taxation and Customs, speaks at the Institute.

Fabrizio Saccomanni

Restoring Sustainable Growth and Job Creation in Europe

Fabrizio Saccomanni, Italy's former minister of economy and finance, delivers the keynote address at an event held to discuss solving the persistent economic stagnation in Europe.

Sir Paul Tucker

Reforming the International Monetary and Financial System: What Role for National Democracies?

Sir Paul Tucker, Harvard Kennedy School, discusses international regulation and democratic legitimacy.

Peter Praet

Monetary Policy Issues in the Euro Area

Peter Praet, ECB, discusses monetary policy issues currently confronting the euro area.

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